2025 NFL Playoffs: Each Team’s Winning Shot at the Super Bowl Explained

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NFL Playoffs Preview 2025: Why Each Team Could Win the Super Bowl
The playoff landscape is now clear, and Albert Breer provides a comprehensive breakdown, complete with insights from league insiders, key players to watch, and potential game-changers.

All 272 regular season games have wrapped up, and we’ve transitioned into the postseason following Sunday night’s thrilling finale in Detroit. We’re diving into all the details from Week 18, including some insights into Black Monday developments.

Like last year, we’re offering a sneak peek into the 2024 playoffs after engaging with several executives this week. Here’s your detailed guide to the postseason, covering all 14 teams extensively.

Enjoy …

AFC

1. Kansas City Chiefs (15–2)

Division finish: First, AFC West

Why they’ll win it all: Thanks to their powerhouse trio—Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Chris Jones—and the leadership of Andy Reid. An executive mentioned, “Their defense is championship-caliber, perfectly complementing their MVP-level quarterback, creating a formidable challenge for any opponent.” They also showed their dominance in a memorable Christmas victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

X-factor: The tackle positions are under scrutiny. Jawaan Taylor has been decent but hasn’t quite lived up to his hefty contract. Meanwhile, injuries and rookie adjustments have caused instability, prompting All-Pro guard Joe Thuney to step in at left tackle. The situation might improve with a healthy Isiah Pacheco bolstering the run game, but it remains a critical area to watch.

Fatal flaw: The depth at cornerback beyond All-Pro Trent McDuffie is concerning, especially after injuries to key players. However, Jaylen Watson’s recent return to practice may provide a timely boost for their playoff run.

Under-the-radar player: Noah Gray, the team’s second tight end, has developed a strong rapport with Mahomes over the season. An executive highlighted his reliability and versatility, suggesting he could be the future successor to Kelce.

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Big unknown: The evolution of the passing game. With key players like Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy gaining momentum and the strategic additions of Juju Smith-Schuster and DeAndre Hopkins, it’s intriguing to see how this unit will perform under playoff pressure.

2. Buffalo Bills (13–4)

Division finish: First, AFC East

Why they’ll win it all: Josh Allen is at the heart of the Bills’ success. He’s taken on more responsibility this season and elevated his game to an MVP level, making Buffalo a legitimate contender. However, his performance needs to remain top-notch for them to go all the way.

X-factor: An AFC executive posed the question, “Can the skill players elevate their game so Allen doesn’t have to carry the team?” If players like Dalton Kincaid, James Cook, and Amari Cooper can step up, it could significantly impact their playoff run.

Fatal flaw: The secondary may prove to be Buffalo’s Achilles’ heel. Despite solid performances, the unit could struggle against high-caliber passing attacks, posing a substantial challenge in critical moments.

Under-the-radar player: Ty Johnson, the third-down back, has shown his value in passing situations, exploiting matchups against linebackers. His ability to make significant plays could be crucial in the playoffs.

Big unknown: The resilience of the defense, particularly with injuries at linebacker and safety, could be tested against top-tier offenses like the Chiefs and Ravens, who excel in exploiting weaknesses in the middle of the field.

Allen has put on an MVP-worthy season, leading the Bills to a 13–4 record. / Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

3. Baltimore Ravens (12–5)

Division finish: First, AFC North

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Why they’ll win it all: Their offense has become more versatile and challenging to defend, thanks to Lamar Jackson’s growth under coordinator Todd Monken and the emergence of young talents like Zay Flowers and Isaiah Likely. The addition of Derrick Henry has added a formidable dimension to their ground game.

X-factor: Derrick Henry’s impact is straightforward. An exec explained, “If defenses focus too much on containing Lamar, Henry can dominate.” His ability to exploit open spaces has been a game-changer for the Ravens, particularly evident in his standout performance on Christmas Day.

Fatal flaw: If the defense regresses and the Ravens find themselves trailing, it could force them out of their comfort zone, diminishing Henry’s impact and putting pressure on their receivers to consistently win against coverage.

Under-the-radar player: DT Travis Jones has become a key defensive asset, complementing the more aggressive Nnamdi Madubuike. His ability to disrupt plays both in the run game and as a pass rusher has been vital for the Ravens’ defensive scheme.

Big unknown: The performance of the secondary under playoff pressure is a major question. With Kyle Hamilton’s move to a more centralized role, the defense has stabilized, but the depth at cornerback beyond starters Nate Wiggins and Marlon Humphrey remains a concern.

 4. Houston Texans (10–7)

Division finish: First, AFC South

Why they’ll win it all: The Texans have shown glimpses of a team that can overcome any challenge, particularly earlier in the season. Their ability to protect the football and exploit defenses with a potent run game led by Joe Mixon could be the key to their success in the postseason.

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X-factor: Mixon’s versatility in the backfield could be a game-changer. His skills as a receiver might help quarterback C.J. Stroud regain his form at a crucial time, potentially reinvigorating the Texans’ offensive playbook.

Fatal flaw: The interior of the offensive line has been Houston’s weak link this season. Despite solid performances from tackles Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard, the internal line has struggled, impacting their offensive consistency.

Under-the-radar player: Linebacker Henry To’oTo’o and rookie cornerback Kamari Lassiter have both stepped up significantly. To’oTo’o has been pivotal in stabilizing the run defense, while Lassiter has proven to be a reliable counterpart to elite corner Derek Stingley Jr.

Big unknown: Can Stroud rediscover the elite form that defined his rookie season? The Texans’

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